Analysis: BTC has widely benefited from a bullish bias before the close of the upside window, still leaving around 20% to 25% upside potential.

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/07/17 15:52:05
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, July 17th, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost published a market insight pointing out that Bitcoin's short-term holders MVRV indicates there is still room for upside. In this current cycle, short-term holders (STH) have never exceeded the 42% unrealized profit threshold, which can be seen through their MVRV indicator. Each time the STH MVRV reaches around 1.35 (corresponding to +35% unrealized profit), profit-taking behavior is triggered, usually followed by a short-term pullback. Currently, we are far from this level, with the current STH MVRV at around 1.15.

The main reason is that the realized price of short-term holders first broke above $100,000 on July 11th, reaching a historic high. This price has now even exceeded $102,000. Therefore, until we revisit the key MVRV threshold, BTC still has about 20% to 25% upside potential. In other words, there may still be a bullish window before the next round of widespread profit-taking begins.

MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) is an indicator used to assess the market condition of cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin. It measures investors' unrealized profits or losses by comparing market value with realized value, commonly used to determine whether the market is overheated or undervalued. In this case, the value specifically refers to short-term holders.

You may also like

A Perspective on the Indian Cryptocurrency Market: Descending into Silence or Moving Towards Maturity?

The Indian cryptocurrency industry has not gone silent; it is steadily maturing towards diversification.

It took me a year to see the painful truth about Agent payments

Among the four major tracks of Agent purchasing, Agent API, Agent inter-payment, and Agent finance, currently only Agent finance has real users and willingness to pay. But worse than having no demand is that the real competition point has never been payment...

Morning News | Bitmine issues preferred shares to raise $300 million; Polymarket accuses Kalshi of industrial espionage

Overview of Important Market Events on June 4th

Privacy coin trust crisis! ZEC plummets over 56% in a single day

The recent increase in ZEC is nearly 3 times, and the vulnerability news may have just provided an opportunity to exit.

Who is leading the price discovery in the cryptocurrency market? Measured delays on platforms like Binance and Hyperliquid

There is a saying circulating on crypto Twitter: Hyperliquid has replaced Binance and become the center of crypto price discovery. Arrakis conducted a cross-platform test using the tick-by-tick transaction data from 29 perpetual markets, and the truth lies within milliseconds.

Anthropic launches IPO: Business miracle or valuation bubble?

Human economy is transitioning from a carbon-based drive to a dual-engine drive of carbon-based and silicon-based, which is what is truly happening behind Anthropic's IPO.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com