Analyst: Bitcoin funding rates have fallen to their lowest level since 2023, which may indicate that a bottom has formed
CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten stated that the Bitcoin funding rate has fallen to its lowest level since 2023, and historical patterns show that such signals often coincide with market bottoms. According to Glassnode data, the seven-day moving average of the funding rate has dropped to about -0.005%.
The funding rate is the fee that long and short positions pay each other periodically in perpetual contracts to keep the contract price aligned with the spot market. When the rate is positive, longs pay shorts, reflecting bullish market sentiment; when the rate is negative, shorts pay longs, indicating a bearish market. Despite the funding rate being persistently negative from March to April this year, Bitcoin still oscillated upward from the $60,000 to $65,000 range to about $75,000. Historically, a deeply negative funding rate often coincides with Bitcoin's phase bottoms: during the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, Bitcoin fell to about $3,000; it dropped to $30,000 during China's mining ban announcement in 2021; it hit a low of about $15,000 during the FTX collapse in November 2022; and it briefly fell below $20,000 during the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023. During the yen arbitrage trade closure in August 2024 and the "Liberation Day" sell-off in April 2025, negative funding rates also appeared alongside phase lows. The continued negative funding rate indicates that even if the price trend is positive, short positions remain at a high level. This divergence may suggest that the market is climbing within a "wall of worry," and a large number of short positions could become fuel for further price increases.
You may also like
Strategy Founder: The Next 10 Years of Bitcoin
Forbes Special Report: Stablecoin cross-border payments are faster now, but not cheaper yet
Li Feifei's latest long article: When video generation, robots, and NVIDIA all claim to be world models, we need a taxonomy
Blaming the desolation of the cryptocurrency world on the rise of AI is a form of intellectual laziness
The impact of OUSD on Circle, Tether, and Paxos: not a single negative factor, but a more complex reshaping of competition
A valuation of 8 billion dollars, doubling in 8 months! What makes the crypto-friendly bank Erebor Bank stand out?
340 billion valuation: Li Yanhong's largest IPO, a seat in Kunlunxin's shares is hard to come by
Stablecoins are the "royalists" of the crypto world: Open USD brings the old currency system into play
Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina: The Underdog Team That Stunned the World in Defeat
Cape Verde's run ended in a 3-2 defeat to Argentina, but their journey — three unbeaten draws, one heroic goalkeeper, and a fight that pushed the defending champions to the brink — is the kind of story markets recognize too: small caps can rattle blue chips long before anyone expects it.
Semiconductor stocks plummet, yet Anthropic wants to create a 2nm chip
Where is Zhao Changpeng's billion-dollar investment going? YZi Labs' investment landscape fully revealed
Ethereum Foundation Report: A Basic Guide to Ethereum for Governments and Financial Institutions
A pre-announced harvesting case: After the cryptocurrency price dropped by 99%, the public chain Saga exited to transform into AI
When American giants collectively "defect" from Chinese AI models
BIS Report Compliance Observation: The Real Risks of Stablecoins, Not Just "Depegging"
Portugal 2-1 Croatia: Ronaldo's 20-Year Knockout-Stage Drought Ends With a Debt Finally Collected
Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 in the 2026 global football championship's knockout rounds as Ronaldo scored his first-ever knockout-stage goal, Gonçalo Ramos struck a stoppage-time winner, and VAR ruled out a late equalizer for offside.
